Wednesday, October 14, 2009

New Poll Shows Marriage Equality Inching Ahead in Maine But Facing Big Hurdles

A new poll of likely Maine voters out from Pan Atlantic SMS Group indicates 51.8% would vote no on Question 1 which is attempting to overturn the state's new marriage equality law. (PDF)

They were asked:

Question 1 - "Do you want to reject the new law that lets same-sex couples marry and allows individuals and religious groups to refuse to perform these marriages?" If today was Election Day, how would you vote on this issue?
  • 40.9% would vote YES
  • 2.0% lean YES
  • 50.6% would vote NO
  • 1.2% lean NO
  • 5.2% are undecided
DirigoBlue reports:
More voters in the 2nd Congressional District would vote YES (51.8%), while fewer in the 1st Congressional District would vote YES (34.2%). While 64.3% of Republicans would vote YES, only 24.2% of Democrats would, with a surprising 42.6% of Independents saying they would vote YES.

And of Catholics surveyed, 50.0% responded that they would vote YES, while 42.7% would vote NO, with 7.3% undecided.
This is good news, but it could also have dire consequences for us.

Yesterday, the NO on 1/Protect Maine Equality announced how much it has raised thus far, and it turns out they have out raised the opposition by $1.1 million. The Yes on 1 responded by freaking out and blasting an email to supporters begging for more money. And now they can wail that they're behind in the polls, which will urge even more people to donate. So expect the LDS and Catholic church and the National Organization for Marriage to fork over more chunks of change.

Remember last year when the NO on 8 campaign announced we were running behind and needed funds, and floods of donations came in? Don't underestimate the opposition - they're about to get a lot of money by proclaiming the same thing.

With three weeks left before elections, anything can happen.

We need to keep donating money and time to the NO on 1 campaign. Donate to Maine's moneybomb! The goal is to raise as much money as possible by midnight October 15, the deadline for reporting numbers.




Can't donate? Don't worry. You can phone bank!
Sign up for a two hour virtual phone bank shift. You will be trained.

Wednesday, October 14: 3-5 pm PT (6-8 pm ET)
Wednesday, October 14: 4-6 pm PT (7-9 pm ET)

Thursday, October 15: 3-5 pm PT (6-8 pm ET)
Thursday, October 15: 4-6 pm PT (7-9 pm ET)

Friday, October 16: 3-5 pm PT (6-8 pm ET)
Friday, October 16: 4-6 pm PT (7-9 pm ET)

Saturday, October 17: 7-9 am PT (10 am - 12 pm ET)
Saturday, October 17: 9-11 am PT (12-2 pm ET)
Saturday, October 17: 11 am - 1 pm PT (2-4 pm ET)
Saturday, October 17: 1-3 pm PT (4-6 pm ET)
Saturday, October 17: 3-5 pm (6-8 pm ET)

Sunday, October 18: 7-9 am PT (10 am - 12 pm ET)
Sunday, October 18: 9-11 am PT (12-2 pm ET)
Sunday, October 18: 11 am - 1 pm PT (2-4 pm ET)
Sunday, October 11: 1-3 pm PT (4-6 pm ET)
Sunday, October 18: 3-5 pm PT (6-8 pm ET)

Don't let the same people who passed Prop 8 do the same damage in Maine!

2 comments:

  1. Sorry for commenting so often, but this is an excellent post. Thank you UTF. You got it exactly right.

    We must not become complacent. I have previously donated $700. I will make my donation an even $1,000.

    I hope that the No on 1/Maine Equality team has a good get out the vote effort. It will come down to who gets their voters to the polls (or motivates them to vote early).

    ReplyDelete
  2. Keep commenting! Love your comments. And they do have a great GOTV, but bigger the better. More early votes mean more able bodies on election day to help.

    ReplyDelete